People in more than glad to record positive growth in the first quarter year on year sales and global sales of the first history of China's automobile, commercial vehicles is inevitable appears to have a sense of some of sit on the sidelines. Because sales of commercial vehicles is not beyond people's expectations. The miracle did not happen.

In the first quarter, the negative growth in sales of commercial vehicles was 4.38% and 6.13%, respectively, of which the most critical indicator for heavy-duty trucks (including non-integrated vehicles) was a negative growth of 17.96%. Although the pick-up truck "car to the countryside" policy, but the specific implementation of late, and therefore an increase of only 4.51%. Mini-trucks are the first to show signs of growth, soaring by 28.71%. I believe that the sales figures for April will be even better. The remaining large and medium-sized light passenger vehicles (including non-integrated vehicles) were not spared, with a total negative growth of 20.41%.

The reason why commercial vehicles are particularly desolate is not only negative market growth in the first quarter, but also in the newly announced "Rejuvenation and Adjustment Plan for the Automotive Industry", where commercial vehicles have the feeling of "compliance." In the "planning" specifically mentioned commercial vehicles, only in the "target" proposed that "heavy trucks account for more than 25% of the proportion of heavy trucks" and "safety and comfort of heavy trucks, large passenger cars approaching international standards", etc. In the “task”, it is proposed to break through the key technologies for chassis integration of heavy-duty commercial vehicles and improve the driving comfort and handling stability of the vehicle. Focus on the development of key technologies such as high-power diesel engines and their high-pressure fuel injection electronic control systems, post-processing systems, and automatic shifting mechanical transmissions (AMT) for commercial vehicles.

Although the “target and mission” requirements are very high, there are very few “policy measures” for commercial vehicles, and only a few mentions mention that the “automobiles go to the countryside” will be given a one-time financial subsidy for the redemption of light trucks. ". Of course, in the 10 billion yuan in technical progress and technological transformation special funds, many key auto parts assemblies for heavy vehicles (including buses) are needed. About one-third of these projects involve commercial vehicles. However, these R&D projects are not enough to constitute the motive force that directly drives the completion of the three-year planning sales target.

If we look back on the past 20 years, the proportion of heavy goods vehicles in trucks has increased (4.2% in 1991, 4.6% in 1996, 10.9% in 2000, 15% in 2005, and 17.3% in 2006, 2008. It is 16.56% for the year and 14.4% for the first quarter of 2009. We can know that this process is very slow and there will be repeated. Therefore, the idea of ​​increasing the market share of heavy-duty trucks seems to be too simple, relying solely on the economic development, the increase in transportation volume, the large number of roads, and the high efficiency of heavy-duty trucks. Now that the road maintenance fee has been abolished, it should be said that it embodies the principle of fairness. But why is there still a slight increase in the 4% of medium-sized goods vehicles, while heavy-duty trucks are faltering?

There are still some uncertainties in the “recovery” of the economy. If “surplus capacity” has not been fully digested, it will be less likely to increase the market share by 10% in more than two years. Therefore, the government must speed up the formulation of policy measures to promote the increase of market share of heavy goods vehicles. As mentioned in the "Planning", the "Implementation of Auto Consumption Credit Management Regulations" is an important measure. Because of the relatively high price of heavy goods vehicles, "credit" is particularly important. In addition, to improve the "in-use vehicle" energy-saving emission reduction standards to promote the speed of retirement of old cars, and regulate the development of used car market are effective measures. However, these policy measures cannot only be stuck in the general principle concept, but should have very specific terms like "automobile going to the countryside" and "subsidy for new energy vehicles". Only in this way can they truly achieve 25% market share. index of.